Thursday, May 12, 2016

Forex - US: North American Summary and Highlights 12 May

Bonds:

Helped initially by a bounce in risk and fresh oil highs, and largely shrugging off high initial claims, USTs continued to unwind Wed`s move, cheapening back into the 30yr sale. Shorts/intermediates also back up, with Fed hawks in voice on Thursday. 2s +3.0bps @ 0.76%, 5s +3.7bps @ 1.24%, 10s +1.8bps @ 1.76%, 30s +3.1bps @ 2.61%.

* Agency Spreads: Freddie/Fannie 5s +0.4/+0.6 bps, 10s 0.0/+0.9 bps.

* Swap Spreads: 2s +0.14bps, 5s -0.05bps, 10s +1.53bps.

Equities:

Pressure on Apple was eventually outweighed by gains in oil and the S&P turned marginally positive in late trade. The NASDAQ underperformed.

To Be Released -

Data:

22:45 GMT - NZ: Retail Sales (ex Inflation) (Q1) % q/q (Mkt: 1 Prev: 1.2)

23:50 GMT - JP: M2 Money Supply (Apr) % y/y (Mkt: 3.2 Prev: -3.8)

04:30 GMT - JP: METI Tertiary activity index (Mar) % m/m (Mkt: -0.1 Prev: -0.1)

04:30 GMT - NL: GDP (nsa) (Prelim.) (Q1) % y/y (Mkt: 0.5 Prev: 0.3)

04:30 GMT - NL: Trade Balance (Mar) EUR bn (Prev: 4)

05:30 GMT - NL: GDP (Prelim.) (Q1) % q/q (Prev: 0.3)

06:00 GMT - DE: CPI (Final) (Apr) 4cast: -0.4% m/m (Mkt: -0.4 Prev: -0.2)

06:00 GMT - DE: CPI (Final) (Apr) 4cast: -0.1% y/y (Mkt: -0.1 Prev: 0.1)

06:00 GMT - DE: GDP (Prelim.) (Q1) 4cast: 0.6% q/q (Prev: 0.3)

06:00 GMT - DE: GDP (wda) (Prelim.) (Q1) 4cast: 1.5% y/y (Mkt: 1.2 Prev: 2.1)

06:00 GMT - DE: HICP (Final) (Apr) 4cast: -0.1% y/y (Mkt: -0.3 Prev: -0.1)

06:00 GMT - DE: HICP(Final) (Apr) 4cast: -0.3% m/m (Mkt: -0.5 Prev: -0.3)

06:00 GMT - FI: CPI (Apr) % m/m (Prev: 0.4)

06:00 GMT - FI: CPI (Apr) % y/y (Prev: 0)

07:00 GMT - ES: Final CPI (Apr) % m/m (Mkt: 0.7 Prev: 0.7)

07:00 GMT - ES: Final CPI (Apr) % y/y (Mkt: -1.1 Prev: -1.1)

07:00 GMT - ES: Final HICP (Apr) % m/m (Mkt: 0.4 Prev: 0.4)

07:00 GMT - ES: Final HICP (Apr) % y/y (Mkt: 1.2 Prev: -1.2)

07:30 GMT - SE: Industrial Capacity (Q1) % (Prev: 87.9)

08:00 GMT - IT: GDP (Prelim.) (Q1) % q/q (Mkt: 0.3 Prev: 0.1)

08:00 GMT - IT: GDP (Prelim.) (Q1) % y/y (Mkt: 0.9 Prev: 1)

08:30 GMT - UK: Construction Output (sa) (Mar) % m/m (Mkt: -3.2 Prev: -0.3)

08:30 GMT - UK: Construction Output (sa) (Mar) % y/y (Mkt: -2.7 Prev: 0.3)

09:00 GMT - EU: GDP (Final) (Q1) 4cast: 0.6% q/q (Mkt: 0.6 Prev: 0.6)

09:00 GMT - EU: GDP (Final) (Q1) 4cast: 1.6% y/y (Mkt: 1.6 Prev: 1.6)

09:00 GMT - GR: GDP (Final) (Q1) % y/y (Mkt: -1.2 Prev: -0.7)

09:00 GMT - IT: CPI (Final) (Apr) % m/m (Prev: 0)

09:00 GMT - IT: CPI (Final) (Apr) % y/y (Prev: -0.4)

09:00 GMT - IT: HICP (Final) (Apr) % m/m (Prev: 0.3)

09:00 GMT - IT: HICP (Final) (Apr) % y/y (Prev: -0.3)

10:00 GMT - PT: GDP (Final) (Q1) % q/q (Mkt: 0.4 Prev: 0.2)

10:00 GMT - PT: GDP (Final) (Q1) % y/y (Mkt: 1.2 Prev: 1.3)

12:30 GMT - US: PPI (Apr) 4cast: 0.2% m/m (Mkt: 0.3 Prev: -0.1)

12:30 GMT - US: PPI (ex Food & Energy) (Apr) 4cast: 0.1% m/m (Mkt: 0.1 Prev: -0.1)

12:30 GMT - US: Retail Sales (Apr) 4cast: 1% m/m (Mkt: 0.8 Prev: -0.3)

12:30 GMT - US: Retail Sales (ex Auto) (Apr) 4cast: 0.5% m/m (Mkt: 0.5 Prev: 0.2)

14:00 GMT - US: Business inventories (Mar) 4cast: 0.1% m/m (Mkt: 0.2 Prev: -0.1)

14:00 GMT - US: Univ of Mich Sent. (Prelim.) (May) 4cast: 92 (Mkt: 89.5 Prev: 89)

Events & Auctions:

WLD: OPEC release monthly oil market report

03:30 GMT - JP: BoJ's Kuroda Speaks in Tokyo

11:00 GMT - UK: 182day bills auction - GBP 2.50 Bn (Act)

11:00 GMT - UK: 28day bills auction - GBP 0.50 Bn (Act)

11:00 GMT - UK: 91day bills auction - GBP 1.00 Bn (Act)

12:00 GMT - EU: ECB's Constancio Speaks in Madrid

12:30 GMT - UK: BoE's Weale Speaks in Liverpool

23:00 GMT - US: Fed's Williams speaks in Sacramento


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Forex - US: North American Summary and Highlights 12 May Rating: 4.5 Posted by: Unknown

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